One can fairly expect that the media, pseudo science, muckrakers, financial goblins and other players are going to try to have climate change pave the way to their holy nirvana. It’s enough to make taxpayers and consumers recoil in horror. It bad enough that we support an amazing array of “research” paid to prove global warming and man’s role is a doomsday racing toward us. There is an entire industry busily chasing the money and angling for more.

I’ll be the first to say that throwing vast volumes of materials in high concentrations into the atmosphere is a bad idea. Measured against the natural fires, volcanoes and meteor strikes humanity has just gone overboard in being thoughtless in what oxidizing so much and a wide array of things can do. Burning electronics and sending up particulates of heavy toxic metals is simply bad and wrong. But laying out a doomsday future based on CO2 is daft, misleading and dangerous.

First, CO2 is a trace gas, measured in the low hundreds of parts per million. By itself it holds heat poorly so produces very little warming and that warming lasts but minutes or hours. Note that as CO2 increases the increments of warming is less, a logarithmic fact, so as more CO2 is part of the atmosphere the less warming it produces.

Second, CO2 has not correlated with global temperature over the last decade and has gone significantly negative since 2002. So as the record shows:

Third, global temperatures have been cooling since 2002 even as CO2 has continued its gradual rise.

Fourth, CO2 isn’t a pollutant; it’s a naturally occurring gas from animal respiration, organic decomposition and volcanic releases. Plants use solar energy with their chlorophyll in photosynthesis to make the whole of life on earth’s food supply.

Next is the main source of heat energy. The motor that drives all of life is incoming solar and cosmic radiation, with a bit of planetary heat. But keep in mind the planetary heat input is quite small; alone it would not keep the planet from a total atmosphere freeze over.

Fifth is the solar input that directly affects the climate with radiation and indirectly meters the effects of cosmic radiation. Virtually all warmth that makes life possible arrives from the sun. The sun operates in cycles that have been identified in cycles as short as 11 years and others that can be centuries long. When Sol gets more active it is brighter and hotter so sending more warming infrared radiation our way. The brightness also increases the ultraviolet, more than brightness increases would seem to suggest. Most of the ultraviolet is absorbed high in the atmosphere, increases the production of ozone by cracking O2, and heats the high fast moving air, which in turn shares its heat with lower air affecting the weather. The higher solar activity also diffuses the galactic cosmic radiation that bathes the solar system. Cosmic rays are known to have an important role in nucleation of low clouds, thus as solar activity picks up diffusing cosmic radiation less cloud cover permits more solar energy to the reach lower atmosphere and surface instead of being reflected back out. It’s obvious, even though incredibly denied by some global warming purveyors, that a more active Sol warms the planet a bit more. The recent and more observable data shows the solar activity increases in the 1930s and again in the 1990s did increase global temperatures.

Heat is stored on the planet in a major way by the oceans. Sixth is water, particularly mineral laden seawater, which is a planetary sized heat sink that saves up enormous quantities of heat. Oceans have multidecade temperature cycles that match well to solar activity and global temperatures. The cycles seem to last 60 to 70 years in relating to what is thought to be natural variations in large-scale circulation. The Pacific Ocean began a cooling cycle in the late 1990s and sped up over the past year. The Atlantic Ocean peaked in 2004 and has cooled since. The data is matching the observed global land temperature cooling that isn’t being reported in the media and is confirmed by the recently deployed U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration satellites. It’s not in the news, but certain to be in the President’s and President Elect’s National Security Briefing.

Seventh is that polar ice issue. Much has been made of ice disappearing, polar bears drowning and so forth. This is known to have happened in the 1930s, 1950s and the warming from the late 1980s to early 2000s. “Greenland” has had many periods of ice cover followed by greening and then icing over again. But the past couple of years have seen ice increasing again with the Antarctic icing at the largest extent seen in the satellite monitoring era with an increasing pace this year.

A look at the history, well, a look at the reporting of the history and the media events and promotional efforts offers more facts.

Eighth is the really old historical data. Keep in mind this information is based in subjective theorization – no hypothesis for testing is going to be available over hundreds of millions of years. Reconstruction of paleoclimatological CO2 concentrations shows that we are at a planetary low level. It is now at a level not seen since the Cambrian Era some 550 million years ago when 2000% (20 times) more CO2 was thought to be in the atmosphere. So far as anyone can show during those 550 million years there was no “runaway greenhouse effect.”

The second part of eighth is temperature changes lead, not follow CO2 on all time scales. As shown clearly by the prosecution in the UK when compelling the exhibitors of Al Gore’s movie to point out the falsehoods and misrepresentations this should be common knowledge by now. Suggestions range from plants taking up less CO2 as they adapt to lower temperatures to oceans emitting CO2 when they warm as do sodas and beer lose their fizz as they warm and absorb CO2 as they cool. The mechanics are not agreed upon to this day.

Purveyors of the climate change and global warming doomsday thing rely on modeling to “prove” the people of earth must do as they say. Ninth, the models rolled out show that warming should be the greatest at mid to high altitudes in the tropics. But they don’t, balloon and satellite observation are showing cooling instead. The greenhouse “signature” or “smoking gun” isn’t there so discrediting the models which overstate and misrepresent the risks. If there were another court overseeing this, an acquittal would be granted at the first presentation of evidence.

Tenth, those models again make an assumption that water vapor and precipitation increase as temperatures increase so making a positive feedback to further drive the runaway effect. Water vapor is a far more important greenhouse gas, as with oceans, water vapor is a great holder of heat. The hypothesis has been tested and observations and peer review show that the models are wrong, water vapor and precipitation act as a negative feedback to reduce whatever any greenhouse warming from CO2 might be and much more.

Here is the first non-fact. I’m thinking that the natural climate change global warming thing is about money and power. This is a man made creation of a huge opportunity to get control over a major part of the industrial and economic productivity of the civilized world. There is a lot of money on the line and an uncountable number of ways to shave some off for unknowable positions over time.

The most worrisome thing is that human history is replete with people seeking to gain power over others. What could be more satisfying than unnaturally controlling the carbon cycle, the engine that makes life, as we know it work?

Here is the question: Are you ready for the people in government legislating, agency regulators, and bureaucrats, businesses that operate with such rules, and people who participate like they did in the mortgage meltdown and financial crises to also control the planet’s carbon cycle?

Update: An email brought this link, an opinion of the activities in manipulating data that is used to support the global warming game.


11 Comments so far

  1. Matt in NC on November 17, 2008 9:22 AM

    After seeing the recent headlines trumpeting scientific ‘Proof’ that humans were responsible for global warming – I got hold of the published paper the press was quoting. Basically it boiled down to: the four models involved could not explain global temperature changes. Therefore – it must be human intervetion.

    This is the type of science that bureaucrats will use in their attempt to take more power over our lives.

    This month saw another debacle regarding the NASA data. The ‘warmest October on record’ turned out to be a large section of data on the spreadsheet was still populated by entries from the prior period (Not October data).

  2. Al Fin on November 17, 2008 9:49 AM

    The sad part is that the carbon hysterics will now be in control of setting policy in the US, Europe, Australia. The global economy is already taking a beating. If these climate bozos institute the new climate reich, we are in for a long cold century.

  3. sherry on November 17, 2008 5:13 PM

    I think we best be getting on with the promise of making America energy independent.Iran just asked OPEC to reduce production by yet another 1.5 million barrels per day.This past year and the record gas prices played a huge part in our economic meltdown and seriously damaged our society.We keep planning to spend BILLIONS on bailouts and stimulus plans.Bail us out of our dependence on foreign oil. Make electric plug in car technology more affordable. It cost the equivalent of 60 cents a gallon to drive an electric plug in car. The electric could be generated from wind or solar. Get with it! Utilize free sources such as wind and solar. Stop throwing away money on things that don’t work. Invest in America and it’s energy independence. Create cheap clean energy, create millions of badly needed green collar jobs. Put America back to work. It is a win-win situation. We have to become more poractive citizens, educate ourselves and demand our elected officials move this country forward into the era of energy independence. Jeff Wilson’s new book The Manhattan Project of 2009 Energy Independence NOW outlines a plan for America to wean itself off oil. We need a plan and we need it now!

  4. Jono on November 17, 2008 5:53 PM

    Just kidding. Bravo for taking a stand, at the risk of life and limb, for the truth.

  5. Brian Westenhaus on November 17, 2008 10:08 PM

    Thanks Jono and all. The truth / facts are not cooperating with the global warming frenzy. What do think it will take for their scheme to collapse? That is something I’m very curious about as the end of global warming would make a lot of human potential available for other purposes.


  6. Al Fin on November 18, 2008 7:43 AM

    When the global warming delusion falls, expect popular culture to become disillusioned with science, and to grow more nihilistic. If the Obama depression (caused and prolonged by bad energy policy) persists more than a year, things could get very dark on the cultural front.

  7. Matt in NC on November 18, 2008 8:07 AM

    The Energy problem will NEVER BE SOLVED BY WASHINGTON. EVER. Only local initiatives at moderate scale will make a difference in the long run. Moderate scale Nuclear, gas to liquids for stranded gas, farm/municipal waste to electricity and desiel can all have an impact. Of course, large scale Nuclear will be necessary to fuel electric cars.

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